Strategy Dashboards

A read-only hub for my paper & simulated trading strategies. Each card opens its own live dashboard, regenerated by the box that runs the strategy. No real capital is deployed on any book shown here.
6 strategies 3 groups paper / sim only read-only built 2026-07-22
Paperlive paper book Forward-testexploratory port Simpre-launch backtest/sim Archivedstudy concluded

Temperature-Prediction Strategies

2

Trading Polymarket daily high/low temperature markets. The edge is a resolution-timing moat — how fast a city's official settlement station prints versus the market — not a weather forecast.

HK Weather — A & B

Paper
Two variants (A / B) on Hong Kong daily-temperature markets. Exploits HKO being the only non-airport resolution station — its readings diverge from the synchronized airport METAR prints other cities settle on. Afternoon "crossing" pair; tiny capacity.
PolymarketHKOlow-cap
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Tokyo Weather

Forward-test
The HK temperature approach ported to Tokyo daily-temp markets — a forward test of whether the timing edge survives on a city that settles off the same synchronized METAR feed everyone else sees.
PolymarketMETARexploratory
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Polymarket Strategies

2

Micro-structure and market-making on Polymarket short-duration crypto binaries.

Overround MM

Sim
Two-sided market-making on Polymarket 5-minute crypto Up/Down binaries. Harvests the book overround plus the 20% maker rebate, quoting around a calibrated fair value. Go / no-go re-sim scheduled early Aug 2026.
Polymarket5-minmarket-making
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PM Crypto-Trend (G1)

Archived
5-minute Up/Down oracle-divergence study on BTC / ETH Polymarket binaries. Recorder plus the G1 signal report. Concluded — kept online as a reference dashboard.
Polymarket5-minstudy
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Alt Funding-Rate / Directional Bot

2

Cross-exchange funding, directional mean-reversion on alt perps, and a discretionary BTC book.

Mean-Reversion (alt funding / direction)

Paper
Z-score mean-reversion on alt perpetuals — fades funding and price extremes with scale-in clips and no hard stop. Hourly paper book running on the VPS.
perpsZ-scorehourly
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BTC Trading Bot

Paper
LLM-discretionary BTC-perp strategy — regime reads plus convex risk sizing, tracked against live Binance BTCUSDT perpetual prices from a $10k book. The edge is risk shaping and regime context, not signal detection.
BTCBinancediscretionary
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